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|
Financial
Consultant for
SafeAmerica members. |
Jean
Gunnarson
Credit Union’s
Brokerage Services |
Asset
Allocation in a Rising-Rate Environment
The
Federal Reserve Board is nearing the end of the series of
interest rate increases it commenced in 2004, and although
the extent of further Fed tightening is unknown, the rate
hikes so far have gradually changed the investment environment.
The
Problems with Cash
Even with higher rates, short-term accounts (certificates/money
markets) are inadequate for long-term investing for three
basic reasons.
First,
the most modest goal of long-term investing should be to beat
inflation. However, long-term investors don’t need to
beat the national inflation rate – they need to beat
the inflation they face. And the tough reality for those saving
for retirement is that inflation is higher for older Americans
because of above-average spending on medical care and utilities.
Second,
as interest rates rise, so do the taxes on interest income.
For fully taxable investments, well-off individuals can easily
pay 40% of their interest income in federal and state taxes.
Third,
the power of compounding makes what seems an innocuous choice
for any one year a dangerous direction for the long run. While
there is little difference between 4% and 8% in any one year,
over 20 years the difference is staggering Essentially that
difference could translate into either retiring to Malibu
or retiring to Mudsville.
The
Asset Allocation Alternative
But if cash doesn’t get the job done, how can long-term
investors exploit the potential of long-term financial assets
without having to stomach the full brunt of stock market volatility?
The
simplest answer may be an asset allocation fund.
The
single neatest aspect of asset allocation funds is that like
shock absorbers, the diversification benefits they offer are
not distributed evenly, but rather kick in most strongly in
extreme markets. This extra protection in tough times reflects
the fact that the most extreme shocks to financial markets
have different implications for different asset classes.
Most
investors need the returns from long-term assets in order
to achieve their goals. Asset allocation funds are a particularly
interesting alternative for investors hesitating to move back
into long-term assets after the stock market roller coaster
of recent years.
Call
me today at (925) 847-8386 or email jgunnarson@safeamerica.com
to schedule an appointment if you are interested in knowing
how an asset allocation strategy might benefit you.
Securities
offered through Duerr Financial Corporation, member NASD/SIPC/MSRB,
at your financial institution are not insured by NCUA, FDIC,
or any other governmental agency. They are not deposits or
other obligations of or guaranteed by Duerr Financial Corporation,
or your financial institution and are subject to investment
risks, including possible loss of the principal amount invested. |